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MKS expect revenue from CII’s core business to marginally increase to VND229 billion in 2010 due to rising toll fees from the Binh Trieu project before benefiting from a 50% rise in toll rates in 2011 (2011 revenue forecast: VND374 billion). The main income driver for the next three years will be its non-toll infrastructure and real estate portfolios, which will account for an average of around 50% of total revenue and 68% of EBIT between 2010 and 2013. MKS expect CII to record net profit of VND440 billion in 2010, up 38.8% from VND316.7 billion in 2009. Our projection is 2.3% below the company’s target of VND450 billion, primarily due to differences in valuation of the company’s securities portfolio.
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