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Tóm tắt:
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GDP growth picked up to 4.5% in Q2 as the stimulus plan began to take
hold. Exports remain weak and the trade balance has begun to
deteriorate anew. Inflation is at a five-year low, but monthly
increases have reappeared and need to be watched. We expect growth to
rise throughout 2009, but remain below trend. The risks are moderately
on the upside.
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